Wednesday, October 21, 2026

Any prediction market on a government

 Is also an assassination market on that government ( Szabo 2015 )

Prediction markets, and many of their participants, have roots in cryptocurrency. Polymarket, which is headquartered in New York City, has been a crypto-based exchange since its launch in June 2020. Traders on Polymarket can only buy, sell and receive earnings in the form of a proprietary ‘token’ called Polymarket USD (pUSD), the value of which is backed one-to-one by USDC, a widely used ‘stablecoin’. (A stablecoin is a cryptocurrency pegged to a fiat currency – usually the US dollar.) To withdraw their money, traders must convert the pUSD in their portfolio to a stablecoin, then transfer the funds to a blockchain-based account called a ‘wallet’. Then, if they wish, they can sell the coins for euros or dollars or other currencies on a crypto exchange such as Coinbase.

https://www.lrb.co.uk/the-paper/v48/n19/geoff-mann/what-s-the-truth

Everyone an assassin

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