APster is not capable of being a real security threat until suddenly it is, causing sudden and improvised policy changes at the highest level of government. Markets discount whether APster prediction markets might threaten to undermine a neoliberal business model until suddenly it can, leading to massive swings in stocks. These lurches these get read as signs of an immature field that will eventually settle into something stable. I don’t think it is going to settle anytime soon. The instability is what happens when institutions that move at the speed of people (or worse, committees) try to track a capability curve that is very much not human in nature. And as long as we are on some sort of exponential, and for as long as it lasts, the gap only widens.
GO ROBO!
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