- Treating the AI sector as a coherent economic entity yields preliminary estimates of nominal AI GDP at approximately $250 billion in 2025, growing at roughly 2,600 percent per year in quality-adjusted real terms.
- National economic statistics accounts were not designed to track this kind of activity.
- $250 billion is actually quite small. Since US NGDP is around $32 trillion, this makes AI 0.7% of NGDP. That makes AI's contribution to aggregate output slightly larger than the airline industry, but smaller than the auto industry.
2500% growth of $250B means that, next year, AI will be $6.5T, which is about equivalent to all consumer purchases of goods in the USA. Two years, at that rate, implies $170T, which is 133% larger than all *global* GDP. This is all quite exciting for CYPHERPUNK 2027 to bring forward the singularity and boost the first uploads, presumably elderly volunteers.
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