Friday, February 27, 2026

War by Assassindrone

 ⚡️🇺🇸🇮🇷 NEW - Someone just built a live Iran situation room. 

Real-time Tehran webcams. Isfahan feeds. AI-generated intel briefings. Verified geolocations. Plus $3 million in live bets on what happens next.

This is what modern warfare intelligence looks like.

https://blossom.primal.net/28cd1195da9ee0d7a033d42087975277fb69c4455095d7d29bfdd0a6c3ce447f.mp4

The idea is that while a prediction market does incentivize feeding accurate information into the systemthe existence of the market also gives rise to parallel external incentives. As N. Szabo aptly puts it,

A sufficiently large market predicting an individual's death is also, necessarily, an assassination market...

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