It’s a trend that more or less says, newer AI can somewhat reliably do harder and more useful tasks, as measured by how long it would take humans to do the tasks. As of this writing, the best AI can, roughly half the time, do tasks that take humans over four hours; that number was nine minutes just two years ago. Extrapolating the trend, AI will soon do tasks that take humans weeks. People use the trend to justify why the world might change very soon, very suddenly.
treated the prompt more like ‘what surprised me in 2025 that probably shouldn't have’ and wrote about F1 going to Apple, and the rapid rise of prediction markets.”
As for one of the recurring themes, Robert Cruickshank says, “I find it very telling how many people quoted here are surprised at institutional enabling of Trump’s Nazi authoritarianism. They lulled people into a false sense of security last year claiming the guardrails would hold. And these people generally have done little to maintain the guardrails!”
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