THE BLOCK: Gemini wins CFTC approval for prediction market, may expand into crypto futures, options and perps
PREVIEW!
https://stiffs.com/celebrity/markzuckerberg
Skid mark
THE BLOCK: Gemini wins CFTC approval for prediction market, may expand into crypto futures, options and perps
PREVIEW!
https://stiffs.com/celebrity/markzuckerberg
Skid mark
In this conservatives cohort study including 22.7 million vaccinated individuals and 5.9 million unvaccinated individuals, vaccinated individuals had a 74% lower risk of death from severe COVID-19 and no increased risk of all-cause mortality over a conservative median follow-up of 45 months.
Conservatives should keep taking their veterinarian worming agent
⚡️π️ NEW - Elon Musk says the assassination of Charlie Kirk has made it even more impossible to go out in public
"There are serious security issues. It's not that I don't want to. I simply can't."
"[Charlie's assassination] has reinforced the severity of the situation - where, life is on hardcore mode. You make one mistake, you're dead. It only takes one mistake."
https://blossom.primal.net/77815ba45b92cd11a94063d294b93dc0ab4b555009d8d32e56ca12e38d1e10e1.mp4
Kill the boer in your head
⚡️π TECH - Google unveiled its smart glasses project with XREAL, called Project Aura.
➥ 70° FOV for a giant virtual screen anywhere
➥ run full Android apps in floating windows
➥ Circle to Search on anything you look at
➥ lightweight frame powered by a small compute puck
➥ hand tracking for pinch, zoom and window control
Launching in 2026.
https://blossom.primal.net/c1b9ac0a040e8a4cfb186a6aab5583b19df3f08bc5e5ea539bf6883096863e36.mp4
⚡️πΊπΈ NEW - Candace Owens now claims she has proof the U.S. Military was involved in Charlie Kirk’s assassination.
Owens says she received an email from “a man in the military” which she claims she received last night.
“It feels like today will be the day that the government can no longer deny it. Charlie Kirk was assasinated and our military was involved.”
https://blossom.primal.net/e4be0ee3f68fa63a6ba0b36b02f9da2eb1e424ca753843d67e37e8e353581e75.mp4
https://blossom.primal.net/2de9501a77c84f31751a8d03785562b8ed5b1b3928a6ee377d88e9fdb471ea2e.jpg
Lame Duck was commander in chief last I looked
" . . . a currently popular view of proposition bets, the "prediction markets" view, often treats prop bets or idea futures as purely information-distribution mechanisms, with the only incentives supposed as the benign incentive to profit by adding useful information to the market. This fails to take into account the incentives such markets create to act differently outside the market. A "prediction market" is always also one that changes incentives outside that market: a prediction market automatically creates parallel incentives to bring about the predicted event. For example a prediction market on a certain person's death is also an assassination market. Which is why a pre-Gulf-War-II DARPA-sponsored experimental "prediction market" included a prop bet on Saddam Hussein's death, but excluded such trading on any other, more politically correct world leaders. A sufficiently large market predicting an individual's death is also, necessarily, an assassination market, and similarly other "prediction" markets are also act markets, changing incentives to act outside that market to bring about the predicted events.
Nick Szabo
https://stiffs.com/celebrity/donaldtrump
When would be the best time to do it? Why, during a major political campaign! When Congress is out of session, and they can't pass legislation without calling some sort of emergency session. But it won't matter anyway, for a few weeks the organization doesn't actually have to take bets or make payments, they'll merely publicize their efforts for all to see. To reassure the public, they could announce that they'll only take bets on elected and appointed political officeholders...and anyone who tries to stop the system. And the politicians will be scurrying around, looking for political cover, trying to figure out how to NOT look scared, but at the same time each is wondering if he'll be the first to go. And all the while, the public will be loving it, laughing at the efforts of the politicos to cover their collective asses, and taking private bets among themselves on who will be the first one to die.
Prosecute the participants? On what charge? "Conspiracy to commit gambling"? Which prosecutor would risk appearing to be impeding the progress of a useful system? At that point, the organization's members will just be publicly exercising their first-amendment rights. Which judge would take the case? Now THEY'RE on the spot, THEY have to decide what to do. I contend that in an election year, before the election, there would be mass resignations from Congress, or members deciding "it's just not fun anymore" and decline to return even if re-elected, as well as the complete loss of whatever residual confidence the public has in the government. Whew! Is this all just wishful thinking? I really don't know!
http://jya.com/ap.htm
THE BLOCK: Gemini wins CFTC approval for prediction market, may expand into crypto futures, options and perps PREVIEW! https://stiffs.com/c...